Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.473426 0.517858 0.566397 0.623683 0.689868 0.764450 0.855592
2024-12-22 0.378364 0.437895 0.508734 0.600712 0.719245 0.870214 1.082907
2024-12-29 0.330974 0.400406 0.488925 0.613588 0.790944 1.045389 1.462330
2025-01-05 0.287083 0.358163 0.453328 0.595656 0.814358 1.160697 1.811220
2025-01-12 0.250265 0.319061 0.414439 0.563547 0.806589 1.223372 2.104717
2025-01-19 0.222430 0.288414 0.382456 0.534845 0.795784 1.275417 2.408043
2025-01-26 0.209843 0.277551 0.377261 0.546034 0.853442 1.472341 3.181085
2025-02-02 0.204121 0.275745 0.385012 0.579096 0.958619 1.812158 4.722637
2025-02-09 0.193169 0.264786 0.376768 0.582665 1.007040 2.047952 6.319801
2025-02-16 0.180363 0.249749 0.360132 0.568139 1.013667 2.181210 7.780072
2025-02-23 0.171597 0.240294 0.351706 0.567584 1.051059 2.423505 10.532099
2025-03-02 0.162130 0.228956 0.338920 0.556586 1.061388 2.590898 13.524501
2025-03-09 0.154591 0.220638 0.331342 0.556567 1.103449 2.915694 20.413089
2025-03-16 0.146086 0.210261 0.319421 0.546494 1.119272 3.170935 30.182737
2025-03-23 0.141828 0.206672 0.319401 0.561870 1.210582 3.849997 71.234734
2025-03-30 0.134182 0.196783 0.306849 0.547800 1.213306 4.125732 129.733292
2025-04-06 0.125549 0.184683 0.289220 0.520023 1.167507 4.107181 181.004555
2025-04-13 0.117916 0.173924 0.273412 0.494736 1.124378 4.080972 260.738991
2025-04-20 0.115027 0.171253 0.272811 0.504827 1.198718 4.893769 5385.017132
2025-04-27 0.114387 0.172472 0.279814 0.534309 1.352336 6.665971 NaN
2025-05-04 0.111053 0.168637 0.276434 0.537502 1.413279 7.885624 NaN
2025-05-11 0.106413 0.162179 0.267266 0.524595 1.407523 8.420698 NaN
2025-05-18 0.103253 0.158265 0.263026 0.524105 1.453267 9.803429 NaN